"There have been four wars since Vladimir Putin became Russian president: Chechnya, Georgia, Syria, Ukraine. So why do you think the West was surprised by the Russian invasion?
Mark Galeotti: I think it's because of the scale. There's only three years of Putin's reign all the way from the end of 1999 to today, in which Russia was not engaged in one war or another. And yet there had always been limited ones. Putin had always essentially picked targets that he thought he could win easily. And the fundamental misunderstanding was not to realize the degree to which Putin had convinced himself that Ukraine would be an easy victory rather than, in fact, as it turned out to be a disastrous miscalculation."
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